Internacional vs Botafogo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estádio Beira Rio
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.98
Draw
3.81
Away Win
3.66
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Internacional
Botafogo
Matheus Bahia ⚽
32'
José Carlos Ferreira Júnior ⚽
42'
62'
🟨 Álvaro Montoro
Alexandro Bernabéi (Alerrandro) ⚽
66'
85'
🟨 Nahuel Ferraresi
Alexandro Bernabéi 🟨
90'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
17
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
4
9
Corner Kicks
7
15
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Internacional (4-2-3-1)
Kauan
Bruno Gomes
G. Maripán
Juninho
Matheus Bahia
Ronaldo
Thiago Maia
B. Aguirre
Alan Patrick
A. Bernabéi
Alerrandro
Botafogo (4-2-3-1)
Gabriel Batista
Vitinho
N. Ferraresi
Marçal
Alex Telles
Allan
Danilo Santos
C. Medina
Álvaro Montoro
Matheus Martins
Tiquinho Soares
Player Ratings ?
Internacional
A. BernabéiM8.2
KauanG7.8
Matheus BahiaD7.8
Botafogo
Alex TellesD6.9
Danilo SantosM6.8
Arthur CabralF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Internacional edge recent form and defence, Botafogo edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Internacional slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Internacional slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Botafogo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Botafogo have struggled away from home with just one win and a draw from their last five outings, while Internacional look more stable at this venue having secured three draws alongside a solitary victory in that same span. Internacional have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that period. Several players are unavailable for Internacional with four confirmed out and two doubtful, while Botafogo face similar uncertainty with two absentees and two listed as doubtful ahead of this BR1 fixture. Internacional hold a slight advantage in form and defence, while Botafogo rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 7-day comparison window, Internacional's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while Botafogo's implied win probability has fallen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Internacional
Internacional's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Internacional win as more likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Internacional win
Latest market chance 48.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
45.7% → 48.4%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.1% → 26.2%
−0.9 pts
Botafogo win
Latest market chance 25.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
27.2% → 25.4%
−1.8 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
8 snapshots
+4+20−2Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Internacional
Draw
Botafogo
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Internacional
Botafogo
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
11th
31
Games Played
31
1.03
Points/Game
1.26
1.06
Goals/Game
1.42
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.55
14.8
Shots/Game
14.1
4.5
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Internacional at home (17 matches) vs Botafogo away (17 matches)
1.35
Points/Game
0.88
1.29
Goals/Game
1.12
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.82
35%
Win Rate
24%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Internacional
Home form
D
D
D
L
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Botafogo
Away form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Internacional Wins
1
Draws
1
Botafogo Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-04-252026
Botafogo2 – 2Internacional
2025-10-042025
Internacional2 – 0Botafogo
2025-05-122025
Botafogo4 – 0Internacional
2024-12-052024
Internacional0 – 1Botafogo
2024-07-202024
Botafogo1 – 0Internacional
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Internacional
vs
Botafogo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
53.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
32.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
56.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.5%→Latest 53.7%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 7 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 56.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 7 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Internacional's 10 matches and 3 of Botafogo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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