Fluminense vs Internacional Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estádio do Maracanã
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.86
Draw
3.60
Away Win
4.24
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Fluminense
Internacional
46'
⚽ Alan Patrick (Matheus Bahia)
60'
🟨 Alerrandro
Ignácio da Silva Oliveira 🟨
63'
Renê Rodrigues Martins 🟨
70'
Hércules Pereira do Nascimento ⚽
78'
90+4'
🟨 Brian Aguirre
Luciano Acosta ⚽
90+7'
Match Statistics ?
76%
Ball Possession
24%
16
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
21
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Fluminense (4-2-3-1)
Fábio
Guga
Ignacio
Thiago Silva
Renê
Hércules
Nonato
J. Savarino
PH Ganso
A. Canobbio
Hulk
Internacional (3-4-2-1)
Kauan
Bruno Gomes
G. Maripán
Juninho
B. Aguirre
Ronaldo
Thiago Maia
Matheus Bahia
Alan Patrick
A. Bernabéi
Alerrandro
Player Ratings ?
Fluminense
L. AcostaM8.2
HérculesM8.2
FábioG7.5
Internacional
Alan PatrickM8.2
KauanG7.0
Matheus BahiaM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Fluminense edge recent form and attack, defence and head-to-head are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fluminense stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fluminense stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Fluminense enter the match at home with four wins from their last five outings, while Internacional have recorded just one victory in that same span away from home. Fluminense have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have kept only two clean sheets during that period. The hosts face four confirmed absences and one doubt, whereas Internacional are missing three players with another under consideration. Fluminense rate stronger on form and attack, while defence and head-to-head are closely matched. Internacional won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 3 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Fluminense's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Fluminense's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points, while Internacional's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Internacional losing run
12
Fluminense points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Fluminense
Fluminense's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Fluminense win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fluminense win
Latest market chance 49.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
47.9% → 49.7%
+1.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
27.7% → 26.9%
−0.8 pts
Internacional win
Latest market chance 23.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.4% → 23.4%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fluminense
Draw
Internacional
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FluminenseInternacional
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
16th
32
Games Played
32
1.59
Points/Game
1.09
1.56
Goals/Game
1.12
1.28
Conceded/Game
1.25
14.6
Shots/Game
14.8
5.6
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Fluminense at home (17 matches) vs Internacional away (17 matches)
2.29
Points/Game
0.88
1.82
Goals/Game
0.94
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.47
71%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fluminense
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Internacional
Away form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fluminense Wins
2
Draws
1
Internacional Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
Internacional2 – 0Fluminense
Fluminense1 – 0Internacional
Internacional0 – 2Fluminense
Internacional2 – 0Fluminense
Fluminense1 – 1Internacional
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fluminensevs
Internacional
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.7%→Latest 46.6%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.7%→Latest 50.7%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Fluminense's 10 matches and 4 of Internacional's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?