Coritiba vs Vitoria Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Estádio Couto Pereira
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.23
Draw
3.51
Away Win
3.30
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Coritiba
Vitoria
Pedro Rocha ⚽
58'
62'
🟨 Emanuel Brítez
Tinga (Tiago Coser) ⚽
69'
Vitor Gonçalves Tissi 🟨
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
20
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
5
20
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Coritiba (4-2-3-1)
Pedro Morisco
Tinga
Tiago Coser
Jacy
Bruno Melo
Thiago Santos
S. Gomez
Breno Lopes
N. Fonseca
Pedro Rocha
Josue
Vitoria (4-1-4-1)
Lucas Arcanjo
G. de Jesus Soares
Edenilson
Caca
E. Britez
Caique Goncalves
Erick
Ze Vitor
Emmanuel Martinez
D. Tarzia
Rene
Player Ratings ?
Coritiba
Tiago CóserD8.2
TingaD8.0
Breno LopesM7.9
Vitoria
Gean de Jesus SoaresD7.9
Lucas ArcanjoG7.3
Zé VitorM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Vitoria
Vitoria rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Vitoria a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vitoria stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Vitoria stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Vitoria stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Vitoria stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vitoria have struggled away from home with no wins in their last five outings, while Coritiba sit at a more respectable level domestically with just one victory in that same span. Coritiba have scored in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those recent home fixtures. The hosts face some squad concerns with one player out and another doubtful, whereas Vitoria carry a heavier burden with eight players unavailable for selection. Vitoria rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Vitoria won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Coritiba's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Vitoria a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Vitoria losing run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Vitoria points from last 5 matches
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Coritiba win
Latest market chance 41.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.3% → 41.6%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.4% → 28.2%
−0.2 pts
Vitoria win
Latest market chance 30.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.4% → 30.2%
−0.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Coritiba
Draw
Vitoria
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Coritiba
Vitoria
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
14th
32
Games Played
32
1.22
Points/Game
1.19
1.19
Goals/Game
1.09
1.56
Conceded/Game
1.44
11.4
Shots/Game
11.8
3.4
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Coritiba at home (18 matches) vs Vitoria away (18 matches)
1.44
Points/Game
0.33
1.33
Goals/Game
0.67
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.06
39%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Coritiba
Home form
L
D
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Vitoria
Away form
L
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Coritiba Wins
2
Draws
0
Vitoria Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-10-292026-2027
Coritiba2 – 0Vitoria
2026-05-022026
Vitoria4 – 1Coritiba
2017-08-292017
Coritiba0 – 1Vitoria
2017-05-282017
Vitoria0 – 1Coritiba
2016-11-282016
Coritiba0 – 1Vitoria
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Coritiba
vs
Vitoria
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
72.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
48.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
28.1%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 48.7%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 53.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Coritiba's 10 matches and 5 of Vitoria's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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