Coritiba vs Botafogo Head to Head | Brazil Serie A

Match Report

Full Time

1 – 1

Match Events

Coritiba

Botafogo

Marçal ⚽ (OG)

22'

34'

⚽ Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Cristian Medina)

45'

🟨 Allan

Fabricio Bustos 🟨

45+3'

Sebastián Gómez 🟨

45+4'

Thiago Santos 🟨

52'

66'

🟨 Marçal

Tiago Coser 🟨

66'

Rodrigo Silva Nascimento 🟨

88'

Match Statistics

43%

Ball Possession

57%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Coritiba (4-2-3-1)

Pedro Luccas

F. Bustos

Tiago Cóser

Jacy

Felipe Jonatan

Thiago Santos

S. Gómez

Pedro Rocha

Josué

J. Lavega

Paulo Roberto

Botafogo (4-2-3-1)

Gabriel Batista

Vitinho

N. Ferraresi

Marçal

Alex Telles

Danilo Santos

Allan

H. Ziyech

C. Medina

Matheus Martins

Arthur Cabral

Player Ratings

Coritiba

Pedro LuccasG7.7

JosuéM7.0

Thiago SantosM6.9

Botafogo

Danilo SantosM8.2

Alex TellesD7.5

C. MedinaM7.4

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Coritiba edge recent form and attack, Botafogo edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Coritiba stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Coritiba slightly stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Botafogo stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Botafogo stronger

HomeAway

Match Analysis

Botafogo have struggled in their last five away outings with just a solitary victory to show, whereas Coritiba have secured two wins and drawn once from their last five home matches. Coritiba have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Coritiba face significant selection concerns with five players out and two listed as doubtful, while Botafogo have only two unavailable players and no doubts. Coritiba rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in attack, while Botafogo rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Coritiba's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points, while Botafogo's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

Botafogo losing run

Botafogo points from last 5 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Slight shift towards Botafogo

Botafogo's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Botafogo win as more likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.

Movement strength: Slight

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Coritiba win

Latest market chance 35.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

36.2% → 35.9%

−0.3 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 27.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

27.5% → 27.0%

−0.5 pts

Botafogo win

Latest market chance 37.1%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

36.2% → 37.1%

+0.9 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

4 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Coritiba

Draw

Botafogo

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Coritiba

Botafogo

Season Profile

This season

10th

League Position

13th

Games Played

1.31

Points/Game

1.21

1.28

Goals/Game

1.45

1.62

Conceded/Game

1.62

11.4

Shots/Game

14.1

3.4

Shots on Target

5.1

Home vs Away Context

Coritiba at home (18 matches) vs Botafogo away (17 matches)

1.44

Points/Game

0.88

1.33

Goals/Game

1.12

1.17

Conceded/Game

1.82

39%

Win Rate

24%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Coritiba

Home form

2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home

1.6

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Botafogo

Away form

Lost 3 straight away

0.4

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

2/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Coritiba Wins

Draws

Botafogo Wins

Avg Goals

2.8

2026-04-122026

Botafogo2 – 2Coritiba

2023-11-302023

Coritiba1 – 1Botafogo

2023-07-302023

Botafogo4 – 1Coritiba

2022-09-172022

Botafogo2 – 0Coritiba

2022-05-292022

Coritiba1 – 0Botafogo

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Coritiba

Botafogo

Recent Scoring Profile

1.20

Goals scored / game

0.90

2.00

Goals conceded / game

1.50

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

4/10

6/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

4/10

Failed to Score

4/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

77.2%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

55.1%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

34.0%

BTTSBoth teams score

59.3%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 32 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 51.3%→Latest 55.1%+3.8 pts

Strong move towards 3+ goals

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 56.5%→Latest 59.1%+2.6 pts

Notable move towards both teams scoring

This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.

6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

1 of Coritiba's 10 matches and 1 of Botafogo's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Coritiba vs Botafogo Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis