Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Arena Condá
Tue 03 Nov 2026 · 22:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.63
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.07
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Kauan (Giovanni Augusto) ⚽
12'
Bruno Pacheco 🟨
15'
20'
• Reinaldo
Camilo 🟨
22'
45+8'
🟨 Denilson
45'
⚽ (P) Reinaldo
57'
⚽ (OG) Anderson
Eduardo Doma 🟨
82'
Match Statistics ?
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
5
19
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Chapecoense-sc (4-2-3-1)
Anderson
Heitor
Kauan
Eduardo Doma
Bruno Pacheco
Camilo Reijers
Yago Felipe
Marcinho
Giovanni Augusto
Y. Bolasie
Tulio
Mirassol (4-2-3-1)
Walter
Igor Formiga
Joao Victor
Lucas Oliveira
Reinaldo
Denilson
Neto Moura
Shaylon
Eduardo
Alesson
Andre Luis
Player Ratings ?
Chapecoense-sc
KauanD8.3
CamiloM7.5
HeitorD6.9
Mirassol
AlessonM7.6
João VictorD7.3
Neto MouraM7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Chapecoense-sc edge attack, Mirassol edge recent form and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mirassol stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Chapecoense-sc slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Mirassol stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Chapecoense-sc have secured two wins from their last five home outings, whereas Mirassol have managed just a single victory in their last five away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in all of their last five matches at home but have only kept a clean sheet once during that same period. Concerns remain for Chapecoense-sc with three players unavailable and two doubtful, while Mirassol face similar issues with one player out and another in doubt. Mirassol rate stronger on form and defence, while Chapecoense-sc hold a slight advantage in attack, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 1 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Chapecoense-sc's implied win probability has fallen by 3.1 percentage points, while Mirassol's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Chapecoense-sc win as less likely than it did 8 days ago. Mirassol remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Chapecoense-sc win
Latest market chance 27.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
30.7% → 27.6%
−3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.6% → 26.7%
+0.1 pts
Mirassol win
Latest market chance 45.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
42.6% → 45.6%
+3.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Chapecoense-sc
Draw
Mirassol
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Chapecoense-scMirassol
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
16th
32
Games Played
33
0.66
Points/Game
1.12
1.00
Goals/Game
1.12
2.06
Conceded/Game
1.42
12.4
Shots/Game
13.4
3.5
Shots on Target
4.3
Home vs Away Context
Chapecoense-sc at home (16 matches) vs Mirassol away (17 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
0.76
1.38
Goals/Game
0.88
2.25
Conceded/Game
1.53
19%
Win Rate
18%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Chapecoense-sc
Home form
D
W
L
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Mirassol
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Chapecoense-sc Wins
0
Draws
1
Mirassol Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
Mirassol1 – 1Chapecoense-sc
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Chapecoense-scvs
Mirassol
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.10
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 52.8%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 55.9%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Chapecoense-sc's 10 matches and 5 of Mirassol's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?